08:00-09:00

Registration

09:00-09:30

Opening and Remarks

Chair: Professor Guoyi Han

• Representative of BNU, Professor Ming Wang (Vice President of BNU)
• Representative of IIASA, Professor Reinhard Mechler
• Representative of China Association for Disaster Prevention (CADP), Professor Guoguang Zheng (President of CADP, former Vice Minister of the Ministry of Emergency Management, China)
• Symposium Co-Chair: Professor Ortwin Renn

09:30-10:00

Photo and Tea/Coffee Break

10:00-12:00

Keynotes and Overview

Chair: Professor Hirokazu Tatano

• Professor Ortwin Renn: Understanding, governing and communicating polycrisis from a systemic risk perspective
• Professor Deliang Chen: Compound weather and climate events under global warming
• Professor Ming Wang: Systemic Risk: Modeling and Governance

12:00-14:00

LUNCH

14:00-15:30

Climate Risk and Transformation

Chair: Professor Reinhard Mechler

• Professor Reinhard Mechler: Transformation for addressing systemic risk and adaptation limits: Theory and evidence
• Professor Dimiter Ialnazov: Vulnerabilities related to the energy transition in southeast Asian countries: focus on Indonesia and Vietnam
• Dr. Yun Yang: Responses of the Atlantic cold tongue and the Atlantic Niño/Niña to greenhouse warming
• Dr. Jinglu Song: Small-scale heat health risk assessment and nature-based solutions

15:30-15:45

Tea/Coffee Break

15:45-16:45

Methods, Modeling and Cases I

Chair: Professor Weihua Fang

• Professor Aleksandar Jovanović: “Measuring” the significance of poly-crises: A proposal for an indicator-based metrics
• Professor Shuichiro Kuwajima: Knowledge Integration Methodology for Humanosphere Science
• Professor Saini Yang: Disaster and Systemic Risk Assessment

16:45-17:00

Tea/Coffee Break

17:00-18:00

Methods, Modeling and Cases II

Chair: Professor Weihua Fang

• Professor Baofeng Di: Resilience reconstruction of ecosystem and community after earthquake
• Professor Yan Yan: Reconstruction and inversion of landslide and debris flow processes based on seismic signals
• Professor Jing Huang: Mining and forecasting of rainstorm disaster chain based on knowledge map

18:00-18:15

Reflection of the Day

Moderator: Professor Guoyi Han

Presenters & Participants

18:30-20:30

Dinner (Banquet)

08:00-10:00

Keynotes and Overview

Chair: Professor Ortwin Renn

Professor M. Granger Morgan (on-line): Obtaining probabilistic judgments from experts for use in risk analysis

Professor Thomas Homer-Dixon (on-line):

Professor Ruth Richardson (on-line): Rethinking Risk

10:00-10:30

Tea/Coffee Break

10:30-12:00

Demographic Trends and Urbanization

Chair: Professor Qunli Han

• Professor Wolfgang Lutz: Risks and opportunities arising from global demographic trends
• Professor Peijun Shi: Urbanization systemic risk reduction and enhancing sustainability in China
• Professor Chunyang He: Global urbanization and water shortage

12:00-14:00

Lunch

14:00-15:30

Policy Implications and Governance Properties I

Chair: Professor Guoyi Han

• Dr. Constantin Arnscheidt: Systemic contributions to global catastrophic risk
• Professor Hirokazu Tatano: Lessons on the prevention of the propagation of disasters in order to mitigate systemic impacts
• Professor Qunli Han: Mainstream DRR for Development Safety: Implications of the Global Risk Science Priorities
• Professor Ziqiang Han: How did the Chinese public discuss the 2023 Turkey-Syria earthquake and the humanitarian response on social media?
• Dr. Xiaoli Lu: Contingent Organizing for Mega Surging Demands: A Case Study of Mask Supply at the Onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic

15:30-16:00

Tea/Coffee Break

16:00-17:30

Policy Implications and Governance Properties II

Chair: Professor Qian Ye

• Professor Norio Okada: Worldview of cities and regions under Persistent Disruptive Stressors (PDSs) – a time-tested approach adopted in Japan called ‘SMART Governance of Communities‘
• Dr. Pia-Johanna Schweizer:
• Professor Qian Ye: ISEET framework for Systemic Risk Governance
• Dr. Xinyu Jiang: Integrated Disaster Risk Management: What, Why and How?—A Preliminary Discussion
• Dr. Feng Kong: Understanding the Integrated Governance of Rural Disaster Management in China: Characteristics, Problems, and Approaches

17:30-18:00

Reflection and closing (Peijun Shi & Guoyi Han)